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US-Iran Ceasefire Odds Crater Amid Reported Strikes On Qeshm Island

Nov 3, 2026 · 12:55 AM ET· updated 1h ago
US-Iran Ceasefire Odds Crater Amid Reported Strikes On Qeshm Island

Secret U.S. strikes on Iran’s Qeshm Island sent Polymarket odds of a ceasefire lasting through midterms plunging from 96% to under 1%.

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Why It Matters

Fighting between the US and Iran got much worse this week. When things get scarier, people often move money to safer places.

This read is generated by AI from raw market data and is for education only. It is not financial advice, not a signal, and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
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Source: Benzinga · Read the original report at the publisher. Headline and figures shown for context; data may be delayed.

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