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Scott Bessent Says Hormuz Deal Could Come by Tomorrow: Do Prediction Markets Agree?

Aug 4, 2026 · 10:08 AM ET· updated 2h ago
Scott Bessent Says Hormuz Deal Could Come by Tomorrow: Do Prediction Markets Agree?

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says a Hormuz deal could come within days, but Polymarket traders price just 18% odds shipping returns to normal by Aug. 31.

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Why It Matters

A government leader says a big shipping agreement might happen soon, but people betting money on it think it's unlikely to happen by the end of August. This shows how uncertain everyone is about whether things will really get better for oil companies.

This read is generated by AI from raw market data and is for education only. It is not financial advice, not a signal, and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
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Source: Benzinga · Read the original report at the publisher. Headline and figures shown for context; data may be delayed.

Disclosure: Educational and informational purposes only — not financial advice. We educate, not advise. Market data may be delayed up to 15 minutes unless marked real-time. Past performance is not indicative of future results.