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Polymarket and Kalshi Are 'Likely' Underestimating Odds of Crypto Bill Passage Due to Insider Trading Restrictions, Says Fundstrat's Tom Lee

Jul 22, 2026 · 05:16 AM ET· updated 1h ago
Polymarket and Kalshi Are 'Likely' Underestimating Odds of Crypto Bill Passage Due to Insider Trading Restrictions, Says Fundstrat's Tom Lee

BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc. Chair Tom Lee said on Tuesday, July 21, that the Clarity Act has stronger passage odds than shown in prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Why It Matters

An expert thinks prediction markets (websites where people bet on future events) might be underestimating the chances that a new crypto law will pass Congress. This could mean the markets' odds don't fully match what actually might happen, so it's worth thinking about whether popular predictions are always right.

This read is generated by AI from raw market data and is for education only. It is not financial advice, not a signal, and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
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Source: Benzinga · Read the original report at the publisher. Headline and figures shown for context; data may be delayed.

Disclosure: Educational and informational purposes only — not financial advice. We educate, not advise. Market data may be delayed up to 15 minutes unless marked real-time. Past performance is not indicative of future results.