Trump Went to War Convinced Iran Would 'Fold Really Quickly,' New Book Claims. Polymarket Prices a Ground Invasion at 27%
A new book claims Trump went to war expecting Iran to fold fast. Five months in, Polymarket traders price a US ground invasion at 27%.
A new book says a leader expected a quick war outcome, but traders betting real money now think there's a 27% chance of a bigger military move happening. When traders change their bets, it can hint that their mood about what might happen next has shifted.
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